Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 4.858697 5.254775 5.683827 6.185972 6.761229 7.404152 8.183453
2025-06-22 4.099808 4.616897 5.215005 5.968277 6.907005 8.060232 9.620873
2025-06-29 3.654813 4.222496 4.907575 5.814176 7.013407 8.594862 10.932751
2025-07-06 3.345566 3.938735 4.677607 5.693382 7.102486 9.073685 12.223673
2025-07-13 3.139037 3.755283 4.544113 5.665637 7.290155 9.692851 13.841198
2025-07-20 3.019416 3.668196 4.520942 5.774495 7.672252 10.649916 16.256291
2025-07-27 2.930286 3.610759 4.527474 5.918569 8.117648 11.781983 19.357927
2025-08-03 2.812545 3.503946 4.453491 5.931345 8.351624 12.595284 22.137480
2025-08-10 2.679327 3.366007 4.323096 5.842333 8.401247 13.078993 24.385997
2025-08-17 2.537041 3.206722 4.150261 5.670006 8.284435 13.219649 25.862762
2025-08-24 2.429466 3.090685 4.033114 5.575152 8.289957 13.601987 28.163021
2025-08-31 2.374331 3.046400 4.019054 5.644495 8.597842 14.675148 33.089550
2025-09-07 2.323324 3.008809 4.017681 5.743793 8.994813 16.094214 40.523277
2025-09-14 2.202396 2.863074 3.842175 5.533821 8.768682 16.017424 42.467172
2025-09-21 2.107281 2.751469 3.713786 5.395486 8.669327 16.235766 45.945853
2025-09-28 2.026477 2.657570 3.607899 5.287850 8.618504 16.568119 50.391407
2025-10-05 1.969400 2.596874 3.551273 5.263124 8.737288 17.387143 58.552177
2025-10-12 1.941352 2.578821 3.561683 5.360057 9.130788 19.108237 75.797735
2025-10-19 1.920857 2.571129 3.588014 5.488168 9.614891 21.307111 104.650807
2025-10-26 1.879541 2.529035 3.554669 5.499519 9.830378 22.737251 134.215268
2025-11-02 1.824386 2.463021 3.477818 5.420405 9.817475 23.373366 158.522175
2025-11-09 1.759129 2.378901 3.366819 5.267016 9.604083 23.211702 170.156338
2025-11-16 1.709299 2.317789 3.292674 5.182459 9.555037 23.680703 199.630873